| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Getafe | 37 | -6 | 39 |
| 15 | Elche | 37 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Granada | 37 | -17 | 37 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 49 | 86 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 37 | 32 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 37 | 21 | 68 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.66%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Elche had a probability of 14.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Elche win it was 2-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Barcelona |
| 14.39% | 18.95% | 66.66% |
| Both teams to score 53.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.49% | 39.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.14% | 61.86% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.14% | 39.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.47% | 76.53% |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.01% | 10.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.75% | 35.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 4.09% 1-0 @ 4.03% 2-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.39% 3-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.78% Total : 14.39% | 1-1 @ 8.9% 2-2 @ 4.52% 0-0 @ 4.38% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.95% | 0-2 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-1 @ 9.67% 0-3 @ 7.86% 1-3 @ 7.23% 0-4 @ 4.34% 1-4 @ 3.99% 2-3 @ 3.33% 0-5 @ 1.92% 2-4 @ 1.84% 1-5 @ 1.76% Other @ 4.2% Total : 66.65% |