Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Elche had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (4.79%).