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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Mestalla
Elche

Valencia
2 - 1
Elche

Guedes (23'), Piccini (86')
Gomez (34'), Wass (48'), Foulquier (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boye (75')
Morente (41'), Roco (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Valencia 2-1 Elche

Elche are more than capable of picking up a positive result here, and Valencia have drawn three of their last four league matches, but we fancy Los Che to collect all three points on Saturday, with Bordalas's side moving above Barcelona if they manage to win this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Valencia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Valencia.

Result
ValenciaDrawElche
48.84%26.78%24.37%
Both teams to score 46.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.11%57.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.39%78.6%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21%23.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05%57.95%
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.5%39.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.81%76.19%
Score Analysis
    Valencia 48.84%
    Elche 24.37%
    Draw 26.78%
ValenciaDrawElche
1-0 @ 13.49%
2-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 9%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 48.84%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 9.4%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 8.73%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.29%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 24.37%

How you voted: Valencia vs Elche

Valencia
82.0%
Draw
11.5%
Elche
6.6%
61
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Valencia
1-0
Elche
Wass (22')
Wass (70')

Gonzalo (3'), Barragan (33'), Morente (42'), Marcone (48'), Gonzalez (65'), Cifu (74'), Rodriguez (90+1')
Oct 23, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 7
Elche
2-1
Valencia
Josan (19'), Fidel (37')
Guti (77'), Fidel (86'), Barragan (90+3')
Lato (74')
Paulista (45'), Lato (90+5')
Mar 20, 2015 7.45pm
Elche
0-4
Valencia

Suarez (4')
Gomes (44'), Alcacer (57'), Roco (71' og.), Otamendi (92')
Oct 25, 2014 7pm
Valencia
3-1
Elche
Mustafi (13'), Parejo (18'), Lomban (63' og.)
Jonathas (93')
Rodrigues (35'), Mosquera (70')
Apr 13, 2014 4pm
Valencia
2-1
Elche
Piatti (22'), Parejo (61')
Piatti (70'), Barragan (72'), Parejo (84'), Fuego (90')
Barragan (90')
Coro (28')
Perez (53'), Cisma (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid32256170224881
2Barcelona32217464372770
3GironaGirona32215667402768
4Atletico MadridAtletico32194959382161
5Athletic Bilbao321610652302258
6Real Sociedad321312746341251
7Real BetisBetis32121284038248
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal32119125155-442
10Getafe32913103844-640
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12Sevilla32910134145-437
13Las PalmasLas Palmas32107153039-937
14AlavesAlaves3298152838-1035
15Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
16Celta Vigo32710153747-1031
17Mallorca32613132638-1231
18CadizCadiz32413152245-2325
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria32111203164-3314


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