Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Elche win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Villarreal |
| 21.33% | 22.24% | 56.42% |
| Both teams to score 56.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.29% | 42.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.89% | 65.11% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% | 33.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.48% | 70.52% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.04% | 14.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.62% | 43.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Villarreal |
| 2-1 @ 5.64% 1-0 @ 5.49% 2-0 @ 2.97% 3-1 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.19% Total : 21.33% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.62% 0-2 @ 9.14% 1-3 @ 6.27% 0-3 @ 5.79% 2-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 2.98% 0-4 @ 2.75% 2-4 @ 1.61% 1-5 @ 1.13% 0-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.79% Total : 56.42% |