Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Elche win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.