Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Elche had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Cadiz |
| 30.76% | 27.61% | 41.62% |
| Both teams to score 47.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.38% | 57.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.61% | 78.39% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.9% | 34.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.21% | 70.78% |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.72% | 27.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.29% | 62.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.31% Total : 30.76% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.3% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 12.08% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 7.85% 1-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.62% |