Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Elche |
| 48.82% | 28.68% | 22.49% |
| Both teams to score 39.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.79% | 65.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.96% | 84.04% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.87% | 27.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.48% | 62.52% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.44% | 45.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.62% | 81.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 16.12% 2-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 8.27% 3-0 @ 4.58% 3-1 @ 3.6% 4-0 @ 1.49% 3-2 @ 1.41% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.66% Total : 48.81% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 12.35% 2-2 @ 3.25% Other @ 0.4% Total : 28.67% | 0-1 @ 9.72% 1-2 @ 4.98% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.67% Total : 22.5% |