Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Osasuna |
| 51.11% | 24.77% | 24.12% |
| Both teams to score 51.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.49% | 50.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.56% | 72.43% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% | 19.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.19% | 51.8% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.37% | 35.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.6% | 72.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 9.26% 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-0 @ 5% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.1% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 7.27% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.95% Total : 24.12% |