Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Elche had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.