Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Espanyol |
| 32.67% | 28.28% | 39.05% |
| Both teams to score 46.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.43% | 59.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.09% | 79.91% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.24% | 33.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.59% | 70.42% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% | 29.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% | 65.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 7.18% 2-0 @ 5.91% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.67% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 12.16% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 7.39% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.54% Total : 39.04% |