Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 83.06%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 5.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.69%) and 1-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.6%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Elche |
| 83.06% | 11.8% | 5.14% |
| Both teams to score 40.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.3% | 35.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.22% | 57.78% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.63% | 6.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.1% | 23.89% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.75% | 57.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.82% | 89.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Elche |
| 2-0 @ 13.82% 3-0 @ 12.69% 1-0 @ 10.03% 4-0 @ 8.75% 2-1 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 7.08% 4-1 @ 4.88% 5-0 @ 4.82% 5-1 @ 2.69% 6-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.36% 6-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.79% Total : 83.04% | 1-1 @ 5.6% 0-0 @ 3.64% 2-2 @ 2.15% Other @ 0.4% Total : 11.8% | 0-1 @ 2.03% 1-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 1.55% Total : 5.14% |