Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Levante had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Levante win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.