| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Villarreal | 37 | 24 | 56 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 8 | 55 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 37 | -12 | 47 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Mallorca | 37 | -29 | 36 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
| 20 | Alaves | 37 | -33 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 59.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Levante had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Levante win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Levante |
| 59.47% | 22.18% | 18.35% |
| Both teams to score 51.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.39% | 46.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.12% | 68.88% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% | 15.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.99% | 44.01% |
| Levante Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.79% | 39.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.08% | 75.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Levante |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% 2-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.62% 3-1 @ 6.2% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.17% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.39% Total : 59.47% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.18% | 0-1 @ 5.61% 1-2 @ 4.93% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.35% |