Valencia logo
Copa del Rey | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 2, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Athletic Bilbao logo

Valencia
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Guedes (43')
Paulista (26'), Alderete (73'), Diakhaby (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez (60'), Zarraga (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Valencia and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawAthletic Bilbao
34.77%26.18%39.05%
Both teams to score 53.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.93%51.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.07%72.93%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9%28.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24%63.76%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37%25.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47%60.53%
Score Analysis
    Valencia 34.77%
    Athletic Bilbao 39.05%
    Draw 26.17%
ValenciaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.14%
2-1 @ 7.9%
2-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.77%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.2%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 9.8%
1-2 @ 8.47%
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 3.84%
0-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 39.05%

How you voted: Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao

Valencia
25.3%
Draw
24.2%
Athletic Bilbao
50.5%
95
rhs 2.0


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