La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 7, 2022 at 8pm UK

San Mames

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Espanyol

Sancet (5'), Martinez (16')
Vesga (62'), Petxarroman (87'), Martinez (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Vilhena (3')
Morlanes (15'), Lopez (70'), Gil (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Espanyol
42.88%	26.45%	30.67%

Both teams to score 51.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.78%

53.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.21%

74.79%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.39%

24.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.89%

59.12%

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.12%

31.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.68%

68.33%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 42.88%

Espanyol 30.67%

Draw 26.45%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.88%	1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 5.04% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 8.97% 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 5.13% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.67%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol

Athletic Bilbao

83.6%

Draw

12.6%

Espanyol

3.8%