Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.