La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2021 at 1pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Granada4 - 1Mallorca
We said: Granada 1-1 Mallorca
Mallorca have shared the points in eight of their 17 league matches this season, while Granada have drawn seven of their 16 fixtures. Both managers would likely accept a point if it were offered ahead of kickoff, and we are struggling to separate the two sides here, ultimately settling on a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Granada had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Mallorca |
| 26.96% | 26.65% | 46.39% |
| Both teams to score 48.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
