Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Granada had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Mallorca |
| 26.96% | 26.65% | 46.39% |
| Both teams to score 48.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.25% | 55.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.12% | 76.89% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.95% | 36.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.17% | 72.84% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% | 24.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.74% | 58.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 8.83% 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.56% 3-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 1.93% Total : 26.96% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.66% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 12.35% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 8.81% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.57% Total : 46.39% |