Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Granada had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.