Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.