Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Real Madrid

Berenguer (89')
Garcia (42'), de Marcos (67'), Berchiche (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kroos (24'), Modric (59')

Reaction

Real Madrid's Eden Hazard with the match ball, September 28, 2021

Eden Hazard 'frustrated at lack of first-team football'

Belgian attacker Eden Hazard is reportedly becoming increasingly frustrated with his role at Real Madrid.

Feb 4, 18:07

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.4%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 23.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Madrid
23.16%	22.44%	54.4%

Both teams to score 58.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.58%

41.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.18%

63.82%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.51%

31.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.12%

67.88%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.82%

15.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.2%

43.8%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 23.16%

Real Madrid 54.4%

Draw 22.44%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 6.02% 1-0 @ 5.53% 2-0 @ 3.19% 3-1 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.69% Total : 23.16%	1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.44%	1-2 @ 9.82% 0-1 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-3 @ 6.17% 0-3 @ 5.34% 2-3 @ 3.56% 1-4 @ 2.91% 0-4 @ 2.52% 2-4 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.87% Total : 54.4%