Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
40.46% | 28.7% | 30.84% |
Both teams to score 44.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.62% | 61.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.72% | 81.27% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.27% | 29.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.21% | 65.79% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.95% | 36.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.17% | 72.82% |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 12.99% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-1 @ 0.99% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.48% Total : 40.45% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.69% | 0-1 @ 10.93% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.97% Total : 30.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |