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La Liga | Gameweek 22
Jan 23, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Teresa Rivero
Athletic Bilbao logo

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
Athletic Bilbao


Lopez (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Serrano (30')
Williams (17'), Zarraga (60'), Garcia (69'), Simon (82'), Lekue (86'), Williams (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAthletic Bilbao
40.46%28.7%30.84%
Both teams to score 44.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.62%61.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.72%81.27%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27%29.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21%65.79%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.95%36.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17%72.82%
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 40.45%
    Athletic Bilbao 30.84%
    Draw 28.69%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 12.99%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 7.89%
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 1.66%
4-1 @ 0.99%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.69%
0-1 @ 10.93%
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-2 @ 5.58%
1-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 30.84%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano
42.6%
Draw
23.5%
Athletic Bilbao
33.8%
68