Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 30.84% and a draw has a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline was Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Bilbao with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines were 1-0 (12.99%), 0-1 (10.93%), 0-0 (10.71%). The actual score line of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9%.