Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.