Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 40.01% | 27.92% | 32.08% |
| Both teams to score 47.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.63% | 58.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.02% | 78.98% |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% | 28.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% | 64.31% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% | 33.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.82% | 70.19% |
| Score Analysis |
Girona 40.01%
Rayo Vallecano 32.08%
Draw 27.92%
| Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 7.53% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.73% Total : 40.01% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.57% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.08% |
How you voted: Girona vs Rayo Vallecano
Girona
44.7%Draw
5.3%Rayo Vallecano
50.0%38


