Girona logo
Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 15, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Rayo Vallecano logo

Girona
1 - 2
Rayo Vallecano

Espinosa (26')
Juanpe (18'), Martinez (79'), Moreno (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Guardiola (45+1', 48')
Suarez (26'), Catena (26'), Valentin (69'), Isi (90+4'), Comesana (90+6'), Trejo (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa del Rey clash between Girona and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawRayo Vallecano
40.01%27.92%32.08%
Both teams to score 47.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.63%58.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.02%78.98%
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48%28.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7%64.31%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46%33.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82%70.19%
Score Analysis
    Girona 40.01%
    Rayo Vallecano 32.08%
    Draw 27.92%
GironaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 8.22%
2-0 @ 7.53%
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-0 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 40.01%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.57%
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 7.16%
0-2 @ 5.71%
1-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.08%

How you voted: Girona vs Rayo Vallecano

Girona
44.7%
Draw
5.3%
Rayo Vallecano
50.0%
38