Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.