Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.