Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Alaves |
| 59.51% | 22.61% | 17.88% |
| Both teams to score 49.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.92% | 49.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% | 71.15% |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.88% | 16.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.46% | 45.54% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.8% | 41.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.26% | 77.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Betis | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% 2-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 5.97% 4-0 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 1.21% 5-0 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.06% Total : 59.51% | 1-1 @ 10.74% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.6% | 0-1 @ 5.89% 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.61% 1-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.93% Total : 17.88% |