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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Teresa Rivero
Levante logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 4
Levante

Garcia (18'), Guardiola (61' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-3)
Melero (26', 45+1'), Marti (44'), Coke (76')
Saracchi (55'), Postigo (75'), Vezo (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Levante, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Levante had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Levante win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawLevante
44.53% (-1.892 -1.89)24.65% (0.258 0.26)30.82% (1.633 1.63)
Both teams to score 57.31% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.47% (-0.32700000000001 -0.33)45.52% (0.325 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15% (-0.312 -0.31)67.85% (0.312 0.31)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.947 -0.95)20.53% (0.946 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (-1.521 -1.52)53.04% (1.521 1.52)
Levante Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11% (0.943 0.94)27.89% (-0.944 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.5% (1.19 1.19)63.5% (-1.192 -1.19)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 44.53%
    Levante 30.82%
    Draw 24.64%
Rayo VallecanoDrawLevante
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-0 @ 9.07% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.329 -0.33)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.292 -0.29)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 44.53%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.047 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.271 0.27)
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.289 0.29)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.302 0.3)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.194 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.084 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.177 0.18)
1-4 @ 1% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.82%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Levante

Rayo Vallecano
72.1%
Draw
19.1%
Levante
8.7%
183
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
Levante
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Marti (39' pen.)
Martinez (16'), Luis Morales (45+1'), Malsa (66')
Guardiola (90+2')
Ciss (43'), Comesana (45+4'), Garcia (54'), Balliu (82')
May 4, 2019 12pm
Levante
4-1
Rayo Vallecano
Campana (14'), Vezo (43'), Remeseiro (85'), Bardhi (90')
Campana (85')
Garcia (71')
Medran (58'), Suarez (68'), Embarba (78')
Embarba (82')
Dec 23, 2018 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Levante
Tono (23' og.), De Tomas (67')
Imbula (90'), Dimitrievski (90')
Rochina (60')
Postigo (58'), Rochina (80')
May 15, 2016 6.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
3-1
Levante
Hernandez (12'), Sanchez (23'), Miku (73')
Amaya (59')
Verza (59' pen.)
Navarro (63'), Deyverson (82'), Verza (90')
Jan 9, 2016 9.05pm
Levante
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Deyverson (72'), Morales (81')
Feddal (34'), Simao (37'), Deyverson (72'), Verza (85'), Xumetra (93')
Hernandez (83')
Guerra (89')