| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
| 20 | Alaves | 38 | -34 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Levante had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Levante win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Levante |
| 44.53% ( | 24.65% ( | 30.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.47% ( | 45.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( | 67.85% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( | 20.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.96% ( | 53.04% ( |
| Levante Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% ( | 27.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.5% ( | 63.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Levante |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 4-2 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.53% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.82% |