| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 39.51% ( | 28.09% ( | 32.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.08% ( | 58.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.59% ( | 79.41% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( | 29.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.01% ( | 64.99% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( | 33.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.75% ( | 70.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 4-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.64% Total : 39.51% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.77% ( 2-2 @ 4.43% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.09% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 2-3 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.39% |