The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
| 20 | Alaves | 38 | -34 | 31 |
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-4 Levante
Friday, May 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, May 20 at 8pm in La Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
We said: Alaves 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo have shared the points in three of their last four La Liga matches, and we are backing another draw in this game. Alaves were close to claiming a point against Osasuna last time out, and we believe that the home team will have enough to avoid defeat on Saturday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 30.66% | 28.39% | 40.95% |
| Both teams to score 45.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
