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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 16, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Rayo Vallecano logo

Alaves
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Joselu (64')
Escalante (45+3'), Duarte (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nteka (55'), Maras (90+3'), Isi (90+8')
Balliu (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
AlavesDrawRayo Vallecano
30.66%28.39%40.95%
Both teams to score 45.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.6%60.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.46%80.54%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.34%35.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.57%72.43%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03%28.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14%64.86%
Score Analysis
    Alaves 30.65%
    Rayo Vallecano 40.94%
    Draw 28.38%
AlavesDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 6.81%
2-0 @ 5.49%
3-1 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.89%
3-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 30.65%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 10.33%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.38%
0-1 @ 12.79%
1-2 @ 8.18%
0-2 @ 7.93%
1-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 1.74%
1-4 @ 1.05%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 40.94%

How you voted: Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano

Alaves
29.6%
Draw
37.0%
Rayo Vallecano
33.3%
54
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2021 1pm
Jan 28, 2019 8pm
Alaves
0-1
Rayo Vallecano

Maripan (57'), Pacheco (84')
De Tomas (47')
Moreno (69'), Imbula (84'), Comesana (85'), Medran (89'), Bebe (90')
Sep 22, 2018 12pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-5
Alaves
De Tomas (30')
Imbula (90')
Ba (35')
Navarro (8'), Gomez (34', 77'), Calleri (56'), Burgui (90')
Duarte (23'), Aguirregabiria (83')
rhs 2.0


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