La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

Apr 30, 2022 at 1pm UK

Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country

Alaves
2 - 1
Villarreal

Laguardia (4'), Escalante (31')
Garcia (52'), Escalante (69'), Laguardia (80'), Duarte (90+2'), Jason (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Chukwueze (47')
Dia (41'), Capoue (76'), Emery (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

Last Six:

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Granada	38	-17	38
19	Levante	38	-25	35
20	Alaves	38	-34	31

Villarreal

Last Six:

Last Game: Barcelona 0-2 Villarreal
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Real Sociedad	38	3	62
7	Villarreal	38	26	59
8	Athletic Bilbao	38	7	55

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 52.38%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Villarreal
23.57%	24.04%	52.38%

Both teams to score 53.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.98%

48.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.81%

70.18%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.25%

34.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.52%

71.48%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.7%

18.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.62%

49.37%

Score Analysis

Alaves 23.57%

Villarreal 52.37%

Draw 24.04%

Alaves	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 6.72% 2-1 @ 6.03% 2-0 @ 3.55% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.81% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.09% Total : 23.57%	1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-2 @ 9.17% 1-3 @ 5.49% 0-3 @ 5.19% 2-3 @ 2.9% 1-4 @ 2.33% 0-4 @ 2.21% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.37%