| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
| 20 | Alaves | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Granada had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Granada |
| 37.04% | 28.93% | 34.03% |
| Both teams to score 45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.36% | 61.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.53% | 81.47% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.08% | 31.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.62% | 68.38% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% | 33.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.43% | 70.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% 2-1 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.83% Total : 37.03% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.92% | 0-1 @ 11.7% 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.38% Total : 34.03% |