| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Mallorca | 37 | -29 | 36 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -28 | 32 |
| 20 | Alaves | 37 | -33 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 37 | 21 | 68 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 37 | 22 | 67 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.08%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Sevilla |
| 18.28% | 26.49% | 55.23% |
| Both teams to score 39.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.68% | 62.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.03% | 81.97% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.45% | 48.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.37% | 83.63% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% | 22.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.4% | 56.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 8.02% 2-1 @ 4.28% 2-0 @ 2.9% 3-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.28% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 3.16% Other @ 0.4% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 16.37% 0-2 @ 12.08% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-3 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 4.3% 0-4 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.46% Total : 55.21% |