| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 49 | 86 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 39.44% | 26.35% | 34.21% |
| Both teams to score 52.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% | 51.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% | 73.61% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% | 25.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.27% | 60.73% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% | 28.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.31% | 64.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.44% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.24% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.21% |