| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 49 | 86 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 15.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 15.48% | 21.73% | 62.78% |
| Both teams to score 47.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.51% | 49.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.47% | 71.53% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.49% | 44.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.46% | 80.54% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.82% | 15.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.2% | 43.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 5.47% 2-1 @ 4.17% 2-0 @ 2.21% 3-1 @ 1.13% 3-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.44% Total : 15.48% | 1-1 @ 10.31% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 12.73% 0-2 @ 12% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 7.55% 1-3 @ 6.11% 0-4 @ 3.56% 1-4 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-5 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.17% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.17% Total : 62.77% |