La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

May 8, 2022 at 8pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
1 - 0
Real Madrid

Carrasco (40' pen.)
Llorente (37'), Savic (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jovic (20'), Vazquez (28'), Vallejo (38'), Ancelotti (67'), Nacho (71')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 Atletico
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Barcelona	38	30	73
3	Atletico Madrid	38	22	71
4	Sevilla	38	23	70

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League

Next Game: Real Madrid vs. Frankfurt
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	38	49	86
2	Barcelona	38	30	73
3	Atletico Madrid	38	22	71

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Madrid
38.27% ( -1.28)	25.87% ( -0.21)	35.87% ( 1.49)

Both teams to score 54.65% (

0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.37% (

1.08)

49.62% (

-1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.35% (

0.97)

71.64% (

-0.96)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6% (

-0.2)

25.4% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.8% (

-0.27)

60.2% (

0.27)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.25% (

1.42)

26.75% (

-1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.98% (

1.84)

62.02% (

-1.83)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 38.27%

Real Madrid 35.87%

Draw 25.86%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.27%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86%	0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.14% Total : 35.87%