La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 2, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Balaidos

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Nolito (52')
Galan (36'), Galhardo (40'), Murillo (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Benzema (19' pen., 69' pen.)

Reaction

Real Madrid's Thibaut Courtois with Chelsea's Antonio Rudiger after the match on April 27, 2021

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Apr 3, 15:52

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

Last Six:

Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Osasuna	38	-14	47
11	Celta Vigo	38	0	46
12	Rayo Vallecano	38	-11	42

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League

Next Game: Real Madrid vs. Frankfurt
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	38	49	86
2	Barcelona	38	30	73
3	Atletico Madrid	38	22	71

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.8%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Real Madrid
17.5%	21.78%	60.72%

Both teams to score 51.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.76%

46.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.46%

68.54%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.02%

39.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.36%

76.64%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.23%

14.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.99%

43.01%

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 17.5%

Real Madrid 60.71%

Draw 21.78%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 5.41% 2-1 @ 4.75% 2-0 @ 2.48% 3-1 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.5%	1-1 @ 10.35% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.78%	0-1 @ 11.29% 0-2 @ 10.8% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-3 @ 6.89% 1-3 @ 6.31% 0-4 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 3.02% 2-3 @ 2.89% 2-4 @ 1.38% 0-5 @ 1.26% 1-5 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.51% Total : 60.71%