La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 26

Feb 26, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Teresa Rivero

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
Real Madrid

Valentin (42'), Trejo (56'), Balliu (65'), Bebe (72'), Catena (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Benzema (83')
Casemiro (58'), Mendy (63'), Ceballos (90+6')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Real Madrid
22.66%	23.95%	53.38%

Both teams to score 52.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.42%

48.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.3%

70.69%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.1%

35.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.32%

72.67%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87%

18.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.91%

49.08%

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 22.66%

Real Madrid 53.38%

Draw 23.95%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 6.67% 2-1 @ 5.83% 2-0 @ 3.42% 3-1 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.7% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.89% Total : 22.66%	1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.51% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.95%	0-1 @ 11.11% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-2 @ 9.49% 1-3 @ 5.53% 0-3 @ 5.4% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 2.31% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.41% Total : 53.38%