Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 40.23% | 26.72% | 33.05% |
| Both teams to score 51.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.4% | 53.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.9% | 75.1% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% | 26.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.77% | 61.23% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% | 30.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.36% | 66.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.22% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 5.07% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.47% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.05% |