Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.