La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 24

Feb 12, 2022 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio El Madrigal

Villarreal
0 - 0
Real Madrid

Foyth (23'), Albiol (51')

Militao (23'), Asensio (29'), Bale (45+2'), Casemiro (88')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Real Madrid
32.13%	25.04%	42.84%

Both teams to score 56.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.26%

46.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31%

69.01%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.36%

27.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.81%

63.19%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.19%

21.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.97%

55.03%

Score Analysis

Villarreal 32.13%

Real Madrid 42.84%

Draw 25.03%

Villarreal	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 7.75% 2-1 @ 7.59% 2-0 @ 4.98% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.13%	1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.03%	0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 4.56% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.43% Total : 42.84%