Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
| 61.34% | 21.55% | 17.12% |
| Both teams to score 51.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.14% | 45.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.82% | 68.18% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.56% | 14.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.61% | 42.4% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.78% | 40.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.15% | 76.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% 2-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 6.39% 4-0 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-0 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.61% Total : 61.33% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 5.81% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.54% | 0-1 @ 5.29% 1-2 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 2.41% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.97% Total : 17.12% |