La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 5, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
4 - 1
Real Sociedad

Camavinga (40'), Modric (43'), Benzema (76' pen.), Asensio (79')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Oyarzabal (10' pen.)
Zaldua (58'), Merino (81')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 Real Betis
Friday, May 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Next Game: Liverpool vs. Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	38	49	86
2	Barcelona	37	32	73
3	Atletico Madrid	37	21	68

Real Sociedad

Last Six:

Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, May 15 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Next Game: Real Sociedad vs. Atletico
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Real Betis	38	22	65
6	Real Sociedad	37	4	62
7	Villarreal	37	24	56

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
58.13%	23.78%	18.08%

Both teams to score 46.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.6%

53.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.07%

74.93%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.84%

18.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.87%

49.13%

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.49%

43.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.28%

79.71%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 58.12%

Real Sociedad 18.08%

Draw 23.78%

Real Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 13.47% 2-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 5.44% 4-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 0.97% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.31% Total : 58.12%	1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.69% Total : 23.78%	0-1 @ 6.57% 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.74% 1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.71% Total : 18.08%