Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Granada |
| 53.58% | 24.65% | 21.77% |
| Both teams to score 49.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.69% | 52.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26% | 74% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% | 19.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.67% | 51.33% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.15% | 38.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.42% | 75.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 12.37% 2-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.89% Total : 53.57% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.15% 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.47% Total : 21.77% |