Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
57.95% | 24.22% | 17.82% |
Both teams to score 44.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.63% | 55.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.43% | 76.57% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.04% | 18.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.51% | 50.48% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.01% | 44.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.08% | 80.92% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 14.18% 2-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 5.22% 4-0 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 2.09% 5-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.92% Total : 57.95% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 8.53% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 6.81% 1-2 @ 4.53% 0-2 @ 2.72% 1-3 @ 1.21% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.56% Total : 17.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 64 | 20 | 44 | 72 |
2 | Barcelona | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60 | 34 | 26 | 64 |
3 | GironaGirona | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 59 | 34 | 25 | 62 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 56 |
5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 55 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 46 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 42 |
8 | Valencia | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 40 |
9 | Villarreal | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Getafe | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 38 |
11 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Osasuna | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 32 |
14 | Mallorca | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
16 | Sevilla | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 28 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 27 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 29 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 22 |
19 | Granada | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 30 | 58 | -28 | 14 |
20 | Almeria | 29 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 57 | -29 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |