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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Teresa Rivero
Atletico Madrid logo

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
Atletico


Suarez (30'), Comesana (42'), Trejo (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Koke (49')
Lodi (20'), Kondogbia (74'), Koke (78'), Oblak (81'), Savic (85')
Correa (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
28.21%26.01%45.77%
Both teams to score 51.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4%52.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75%74.25%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63%33.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30%70%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07%22.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29%56.71%
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 28.21%
    Atletico Madrid 45.77%
    Draw 26.01%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-1 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 4.61%
3-1 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-0 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 28.21%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 5%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 11.27%
1-2 @ 9.11%
0-2 @ 8.3%
1-3 @ 4.47%
0-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.65%
0-4 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 45.77%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico

Rayo Vallecano
11.2%
Draw
7.5%
Atletico Madrid
81.3%
107
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 3.15pm
Atletico
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Correa (28', 53')
Simeone (7'), Suarez (26'), Gimenez (63'), De Paul (73')
Feb 16, 2019 3.15pm
Aug 25, 2018 7.15pm
Jan 14, 2016 7.30pm
rhs 2.0


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