Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.