Copa del Rey | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarín
Real Betis1 - 1Rayo Vallecano
We said: Real Betis 2-1 Rayo Vallecano (Real Betis win 4-2 on aggregate)
The visitors will certainly come out and attack, given they need to overturn a deficit, but that could leave them open at the back, and we expect Pellegrini's men to punish them. Rayo Vallecano have suffered from a major dip in form, and we do not see them handing Los Verdiblancos a defeat on their travels, given the hosts already have a lead to defend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 46.28% | 24.98% | 28.74% |
| Both teams to score 54.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
