Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.