| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Sevilla | 37 | 22 | 67 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 4 | 62 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Barcelona | 37 | 32 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 37 | 21 | 68 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 37 | 22 | 67 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 33.07% | 25.95% | 40.98% |
| Both teams to score 53.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.57% | 50.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.64% | 72.36% |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% | 28.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% | 64.71% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% | 24.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.28% | 58.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Betis | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.07% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 8.72% 0-2 @ 7.01% 1-3 @ 4.11% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.98% |