| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Granada | 37 | -17 | 37 |
| 17 | Cadiz | 37 | -17 | 36 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 37 | -29 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Valencia | 37 | -7 | 45 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 37 | -13 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 28.33% | 27.63% | 44.04% |
| Both teams to score 46.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.42% | 58.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.85% | 79.14% |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% | 36.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.73% | 73.27% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% | 26.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% | 61.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 6.52% 2-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.87% Total : 28.33% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.65% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 12.83% 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-2 @ 8.54% 1-3 @ 3.82% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.04% |