Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 44.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 26.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.