Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cadiz in this match.