Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estadio Fernando Torres
Fuenlabrada0 - 1Cadiz
We said: Fuenlabrada 0-1 Cadiz
With both teams struggling in front of goal in their respective leagues this season, it is likely to be a low-scoring affair on Thursday, but Cadiz should come out on top. The top tier side may have lost to Sevilla last time out but prior to that they earned a good point against Real Madrid, and that shows that they have enough defensive security to stop Fuenlabrada from scoring. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cadiz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fuenlabrada | Draw | Cadiz |
| 37.02% | 28.2% | 34.78% |
| Both teams to score 47.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
