Champions League
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Luka Modric
9'
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Dani Carvajal
65'
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Eder Militao
84'
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Rodrygo
90'
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Rodrygo
90'+1'
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Karim Benzema
95'
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Federico Valverde
90'+6'
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Aymeric Laporte
9'
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Riyad Mahrez
73'
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Raheem Sterling
101'
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Oleksandr Zinchenko
113'
Real Madrid vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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News
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The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result
Real Madrid
29.6%
Draw
21.35%
Manchester City
49.05%
Both Teams to Score:
68.63%
Goals
Over 2.5
69.64%
Under 2.5
30.36%
Over 3.5
48.38%
Under 3.5
51.62%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
78.89%
Under 0.5
21.11%
Over 1.5
46.06%
Under 1.5
53.94%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
86.99%
Under 0.5
13%
Over 1.5
60.46%
Under 1.5
39.53%
Score analysis
Real Madrid
29.6%
Draw
21.35%
Manchester City
49.05%
Real Madrid
2-1
@
6.78%
1-0 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 3.58%
3-1 @ 3.51%
2-0 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.39%
4-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 29.6%
1-0 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 3.58%
3-1 @ 3.51%
2-0 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.39%
4-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 29.6%
Draw
1-1
@
8.71%
2-2 @ 6.91%
0-0 @ 2.75%
3-3 @ 2.44%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 21.35%
2-2 @ 6.91%
0-0 @ 2.75%
3-3 @ 2.44%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 21.35%
Manchester City
1-2
@
8.88%
1-3 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 5.71%
0-1 @ 5.6%
2-3 @ 4.7%
0-3 @ 3.88%
1-4 @ 3.08%
2-4 @ 2.4%
0-4 @ 1.98%
1-5 @ 1.26%
3-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 49.05%
1-3 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 5.71%
0-1 @ 5.6%
2-3 @ 4.7%
0-3 @ 3.88%
1-4 @ 3.08%
2-4 @ 2.4%
0-4 @ 1.98%
1-5 @ 1.26%
3-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 49.05%
Head to Head
Champions League
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Kevin De Bruyne
2'
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Gabriel Jesus
11'
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Phil Foden
53'
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Pep Guardiola
54'
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Bernardo Silva
74'
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Fernandinho
81'
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Karim Benzema
33'
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Vinicius Junior
55'
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Karim Benzema
82'
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Nacho
90'+3'
Champions League
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Raheem Sterling
9'
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Gabriel Jesus
68'
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Karim Benzema
28'
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Luka Modric
81'
Champions League
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Federico Valverde
48'
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Luka Modric
54'
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Isco
60'
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Sergio Ramos
86'
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Benjamin Mendy
29'
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Gabriel Jesus
78'
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Kevin De Bruyne
83'
Pre-Season Friendlies
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Yaya Toure
29'
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Nicolas Otamendi
52'
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Raheem Sterling
59'
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John Stones
67'
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Brahim Diaz
81'
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Samir Nasri
88'
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Nacho
33'
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Dani Carvajal
41'
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Oscar
90'
Champions League
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Fernando
20'
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Lucas Vasquez
83'
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Kevin de Bruyne
30'
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Fernando
71'
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Nicolas Otamendi
94'
Champions League
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David Silva
37'
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Pepe
24'
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Dani Carvajal
92'
Form Data
Build-up
Team News
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Team News
News
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News