Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 34

Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
5 - 1
Watford

Jesus (4', 23', 49' pen., 53'), Rodri (34')
Cancelo (43')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Kamara (28')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City	38	73	93
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74

Watford

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23
20	Norwich City	38	-61	22

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 87.21%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Watford had a probability of 3.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 4-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.14%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Watford
87.21%	8.82%	3.97%

Both teams to score 44.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.72%

25.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.69%

45.31%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.23%

3.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.87%

16.13%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.46%

53.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.01%

86.99%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 87.2%

Watford 3.97%

Draw 8.82%

Manchester City	Draw	Watford
3-0 @ 11.87% 2-0 @ 10.85% 4-0 @ 9.74% 3-1 @ 7.42% 2-1 @ 6.78% 1-0 @ 6.62% 5-0 @ 6.39% 4-1 @ 6.08% 5-1 @ 3.99% 6-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.32% 6-1 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.9% 7-0 @ 1.64% 5-2 @ 1.25% 7-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.66% Total : 87.2%	1-1 @ 4.14% 2-2 @ 2.12% 0-0 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.55% Total : 8.82%	1-2 @ 1.29% 0-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.42% Total : 3.97%