Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester City | 38 | 73 | 93 |
2 | Liverpool | 38 | 68 | 92 |
3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
20 | Norwich City | 38 | -61 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 87.21%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Watford had a probability of 3.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 4-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.14%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Watford |
87.21% | 8.82% | 3.97% |
Both teams to score 44.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.72% | 25.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.69% | 45.31% |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.23% | 3.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
83.87% | 16.13% |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.46% | 53.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.01% | 86.99% |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | Watford |
3-0 @ 11.87% 2-0 @ 10.85% 4-0 @ 9.74% 3-1 @ 7.42% 2-1 @ 6.78% 1-0 @ 6.62% 5-0 @ 6.39% 4-1 @ 6.08% 5-1 @ 3.99% 6-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.32% 6-1 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.9% 7-0 @ 1.64% 5-2 @ 1.25% 7-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.66% Total : 87.2% | 1-1 @ 4.14% 2-2 @ 2.12% 0-0 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.55% Total : 8.82% | 1-2 @ 1.29% 0-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.42% Total : 3.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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